Articles by Eoghan Kelly
13 articles
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What does winning mean? Plaid Cymru 02-05-2026Plaid Cymru look set to take up the first minister position in the newly overhauled Senedd for the first time. But, there is a lot still up in the air. -
Same Old Lib Dems 14-04-2026A tour of the Lib Dems chances in both Scotland & Wales. We've also discussed Reform's chances in Scotland and the Scottish Greens. - Prepping for Opposition: Reform in Wales 12-04-2026The third in our party by party analysis. Last time I discussed Reform in Scotland, and I've talked about the Scottish Greens here.
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How Much of a Breakthrough? Reform in Scotland 06-04-2026The second in our party by party analysis. Last time I discussed the guaranteed polling miss for the Greens, this time it's the unknown quantity that is Reform. -
A Polling Miss Foretold: The Scottish Greens 04-04-2026The first in a series of blogs about the state of the parties, starting with the Scottish Greens. -
Devolved Elections & ElectHer 30-03-2026Devolved Elections is delighted to announce a partnership with ElectHer to project the number of female candidates for the upcoming Scottish and Welsh elections. -
Land Doesn't Vote - Hexmaps 26-01-2026We're adding Hexmaps to make our results easier to understand, ensuring all constituencies are equally visible. -
A DevolvedElection Experiment: A Single Unionist Party 15-08-2025A test of how a Single Unionist Party could perform in a Stormont election. -
Coalition Formation 01-07-2025We’ve just launched a new coalition tool for our Scottish & Welsh projections. These let you see some of the options that could exist for forming a majority based on your projections... -
Introducing our London Assembly Projection 26-06-2025This is the first projection of the next election of the London Assembly which plays an important role in governing one of Europe’s largest cities... -
Inverting the Projection on the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Election Result 06-06-2025A quick experiment to see how Scottish Election 2026 could look if the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election was replicated nationwide... -
Prospects for Reform 03-06-2025The 2026 Senedd and Scottish Parliamentary elections are set to be the largest test of Reform’s support before the next general election... -
An Introduction to the Projection 29-05-2025For the first time Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland will all be using different electoral systems. This is a quick explainer of what they are and how the projection deals with each...