Northern Ireland Assembly Projection

Preset Examples

Input your projected vote shares for each party

Disclaimer

This is not an official prediction. Instead, it is an educational tool to visualise how the next Assembly could look under certain scenarios.
The numbers here are a projection of the next Assembly election based on proportional swing from notional results from 2022 to account for boundary changes. It assumes that all parties will contest every constituency which is not the case in general elections.
There are other methods which could be used to create projections which may create different results. The results should not be taken as fact as there are likely to be some specific candidates who over and under perform for personal reasons and transfers are notoriously difficult to model. There may also be local issues and fine margins which impact results. If you’d like to find out more about how STV works please read this NI Assembly blog guide to STV, to find your constituency visit the UK Parliament constituencies page, or to register to vote, visit gov.uk.