Try our new Electoral Reform tool

Westminster Projection

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Input your expected vote shares for all parties to see how many seats they could win or use our quick presets. This creates a complete constituency level projection for all parts of the UK, but you can select a country or region of England instead. Our Nowcast is an average of recent polls which will update frequently but there may be a lag in the data.

You can enter any set of numbers, just make sure they sum to 100%. This a projection and will not be 100% accurate, but it is a useful tool to see how different vote shares could translate into seats. We attempt to account for tactical voting but this will be imperfect as the tactical behaviour of individuals in so many constituencies and with so many parties is extraodinarily difficult.

For more info click here.

Select Country/Region

Showing 650 UK constituencies. Scotland, Wales and NI use devolved polling averages by default but can be overridden.

Preset Scenarios

* Generates random vote shares close to the current nowcast to simulate polling error, most are similar to the nowcast but there can be some outliers. It changes every time you click it. You can run 1000 random simulations here

Enter Vote Shares (England)

Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrats
Green
Reform
Restore
Other
Independent
Total: 0.0%

England Voting Intention

Labour
Conservatives
Reform
Liberal Democrats
Greens
Restore
Other

Northern Ireland Voting Intention

DUP
Sinn Féin
UUP
SDLP
Alliance
TUV
Green
PBP
Aontú

Scotland Voting Intention

Constituency Polls

SNP
Conservatives
Labour
Greens
Liberal Democrats
Reform

Wales Voting Intention

Labour
Conservatives
Plaid Cymru
Lib Dems
Greens
Reform
Other

In collaboration with

Mile End Institute at Queen Mary University of London